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Alzheimer's Association International Conference 2026

July 12-15, 2026 | London, United Kingdom, and Online

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10091

Prediction Of Amyloid-b, Tau PET Pathology, And Dementia Conversion In Down Syndrome Using Intraindividual Cognitive Variability

Poster Presenter

Luciana Fonseca

Part of Topic

Background 

Individuals with Down syndrome (DS) have extremely high incidence of AD pathology, most likely linked to the amyloid pathway. They are therefore, considered an ideal target population for anti-AD therapy trials. However, accurately identifying the preclinical phase remains a major challenge. Intraindividual cognitive variability (IICV) refers to variability in an individual’s performance across cognitive measures administered at a single timepoint or over a short period, and has emerged as a potential early marker of AD-related changes, but has not yet been systematically examined in adults with DS.

Methods

Data from 460 participants in the Alzheimer’s Biomarker Consortium–DS (ABC-DS) study were analyzed (mean age, 43.3 years; 45.7% female). Using generalized linear models, we examined whether baseline IICV in memory, executive function, and a combined memory/executive domain predicted incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia, longitudinal cognitive decline, amyloid chronicity, early tau accumulation, and tau PET uptake across Braak stages. All models were adjusted for demographics, level of intellectual disability, APOEε4 carrier status, study site, time between assessments, and mean cognitive performance, with Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons.

Results

Greater baseline IICV in executive and combined memory/executive domains significantly predicted incident MCI/dementia, baseline amyloid chronicity, early tau accumulation and tau burden across Braak stages III–VI (p<0.003). Many associations remained significant after adjustment for mean cognitive performance, including clinical diagnosis and tau-outcomes. In predicting MCI/dementia, higher executive IICV and combined memory/ executive were associated with increased odds of diagnosis (OR = 4.632 and OR = 5.127, respectively, p < 0.05), whereas the corresponding mean cognitive scores were not (p > .05). Exploratory analyses further suggested sex-specific interactions between IICV and tau-related outcomes.

Conclusion

These findings indicate that IICV captures clinically and biologically meaningful heterogeneity in AD risk among individuals with DS. Elevated IICV was associated with clinical conversion and tau-related pathology independent of mean cognitive performance, underscoring its unique contribution beyond traditional cognitive metrics. Further research is needed to elucidate the neurobiological mechanisms underlying cognitive variability and to evaluate its utility for secondary prevention trials, and as a sensitive outcome measure in interventions targeting amyloid, tau, and clinical progression.

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