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Alzheimer's Association International Conference 2026

July 12-15, 2026 | London, United Kingdom, and Online

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5315

Exploring Causal Links Between Sleep And Cognitive Performance: Evidence From Twin-based Mendelian Randomization

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Exploring Causal Links Between Sleep And Cognitive Performance: Evidence From Twin-based Mendelian Randomization

 

 

 

Poor sleep quality (SQ) is associated with diminished cognitive performance, and both are linked to elevated risk for Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias.1-3

 

Determining whether these associations are causal is critical for evaluating sleep as a modifiable target for preserving cognitive health and reducing dementia risk.

 

 

Participants

 

Participants included 798 men (230 Monozygotic Twin Pairs, 169 Dizygotic Twin Pairs) from the Vietnam Era Twin Study of Aging (VETSA)4:

Age: M =67.34 years (SD=2.50), Range= 61.37 – 73.25 years

 

 

•Sleep Quality: Global Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index5 Score (PSQI) M= 5.53 (SD=3.73)
•Sleep Duration
•A single component within the PSQI: “During the past month, how many hours of actual sleep did you get at night?” M = 6.80 (SD=1.33)
•Sleep Health PGS, Habitual Sleep Duration PGS, and General Cognitive Ability PGS were used as instrumental variables
•

Instrument strength reflects how well each PGS predicts its target phenotype; stronger instruments improve power to distinguish causal effects from shared genetic liability.

•Sleep Health-PGS moderately predicted SQ
•F(1,957) = 7.17, p < 0.01
•Sleep-Duration-PGS strongly predicted sleep duration
•F(1,957) = 24.57, p < 0.001
•GCA-PGS strongly predicted all six cognitive measures
•F = 14.57–50.96.
•
•General Cognitive Ability (GCA) and domain factor scores: executive function, visual-spatial ability, verbal fluency, episodic memory, and processing speed 

Advantages of the MR-DoC2 Method

•MR-DoC2 combines twin-based Direction of Causation (DoC) modeling with Mendelian Randomization (MR).
•Extends traditional MR by accounting for unmeasured genetic and environmental confounding.
•Tests bidirectional causal effects while controlling for shared familial influences.
 

Evidence for bidirectional causal effects (SQ ↔ Cognition)

•Removing both the SQ → cognition path (g1) and cognition → SQ path (g2) significantly worsened model fits for SQ with:
•GCA: χ²(2) = 6.90, p = 0.03
•Visual-spatial ability: χ²(2) = 7.50, p = 0.02
•Processing speed: χ²(2) = 9.43, p = 0.01
•Best-fitting models generally favored SQ → cognition over cognition → SQ effects for:
•GCA, visual-spatial ability, and processing speed.
•Effect sizes were modest (SQ → cognition: d ≈ −0.18 to −0.26; small effects)
 
•Modest, potentially bidirectional effects between sleep quality and cognition for GCA, visual-spatial ability, and processing speed.
•No causal associations were observed between sleep duration and cognitive performance.
•Sleep quality—rather than duration—may be a promising target for preserving cognitive functioning, as it is more amenable to intervention.

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